According to the NBU’s forecast, inflation will continue to decrease in the coming months. However, due to extensive damage in the energy sector and last year’s low comparison base, it will temporarily accelerate in the second half of the year. By 2026, inflation is expected to decrease moderately to 7.5%. In the future, a steady slowdown in inflation is projected – to 6% in 2027 and to the NBU’s target of 5% in 2028.Regarding Ukraine’s GDP, the regulator states that economic growth will be driven by larger harvests, investments in infrastructure reconstruction, and the defense sector, along with stable consumer demand. At the same time, due to widespread destruction of Ukraine’s energy system (the NBU forecasts a 6% electricity deficit in 2026), real GDP growth will be modest – 1.8%. In 2027, as security risks gradually decrease, the economy will recover more quickly – 2.8%, and in 2028 – 3.7%.The NBU also anticipates Ukraine receiving $51.4B from its international partners in 2026, $43B in 2027, and $22B in 2028. This will enable Ukraine to finance its budget deficit without issuing new debt and to maintain sufficient international reserves to support foreign exchange market stability.ICU analysts expect that economic growth will slow this year, as economic challenges remain significant. The energy crisis caused by Russian terrorist attacks is disrupting production in many enterprises and worsening consumer sentiment. If security risks do not significantly decrease during the year, even moderate economic growth will be difficult to achieve.https://bank.gov.ua/en/news/all/inflyatsiya-bude-pomirnoyu-u-20262028-rokah-a-ekonomika-postupovo-zrostatime--inflyatsiyniy-zvithttps://ubn.news/despite-the-war-real-estate-developers-continue-to-build-more-commercial-real-estate-in-ukraine/ (ICE KIEV)

Fonte notizia: UBN News